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Scouting Report: Key matchups for Monday night


The Giants host the Packers on Monday Night Football. After a slow start to the season, the Packers have hit their stride and won three straight games, including the last two against the Lions and Chiefs. An offense filled with first- and second-year targets have developed a chemistry with Jordan Love, while the defense is rounding into form. Here are some of the matchups that will determine the outcome of the Week 14 matchup:

Rashan Gary vs. Giants Right Tackle

It took a couple years of development at the NFL level, but Rashan Gary has emerged as one of the best pass rushers in the NFL. Gary is tied for 13th in the NFL with nine sacks, and his underlying metrics show that number is for real. Gary is 14th in the NFL with a 17.4 percent pressure rate, according to Pro Football Focus. His pass rush win rate (20.1 percent) is 10th in the NFL.

Gary spends 75 percent of his snaps lined over the opponent's right tackle. He is 277 pounds with the combination of speed to challenge the edge and strength to work speed to power to get to the quarterback.

Tyre Phillips has started the last three games at right tackle in place of Evan Neal, who is still on the road back from an ankle injury. According to PFF, Phillips has allowed only two sacks and eight pressures in the last three games. Neal has missed five of the last six games due and has started only seven games this year.

The Packers' overall pass rush has managed a 39 percent pressure rate this season, the 10th-best mark in the NFL. They've done it while blitzing just 32 percent of the time (13th in the NFL). The Packers do use stunts and twists more than every other team in the league (35 percent of pass rush snaps) except the Dallas Cowboys, so the Giants will have to be on point with their communication to keep Tommy DeVito clean.

The Packers have other impressive pass rushers that can win one-on-one. Preston Smith is an accomplished veteran with 5.5 sacks and 30 pressures, according to PFF. Kenny Clark (4.5 sacks and 41 pressures) and second-year player Devonte Wyatt (three sacks and 30 pressures) provide consistent interior pressure. This is the best overall pass rush the Giants have faced since the Cowboys and Jets games.

The best chance the Giants have against the Packers pass rush is to run the ball successfully on early downs. The Packers have allowed the third-most rushing yards per game in the NFL (136.3). The advanced numbers are slightly better (22nd in EPA/rush and 23rd rush success rate), but they are tied for the fourth-most rushes of 20 yards allowed (11) this year. The Giants are going to have to avoid must-pass situations to neutralize the pass rush.

Jayden Reed vs. Cor'Dale Flott

Jayden Reed has emerged as the most explosive receiver on the Packers' roster. Christian Watson (who is dealing with a hamstring injury) might be the better pure deep threat, but Reed presents a combination of speed and elusiveness that gives him the ability to make a big play whenever he has the ball in his hands.

Reed spends about 75 percent of his time in the slot, where he should match up with Giants cornerback Cor'Dale Flott. Flott has had his best year in coverage as a pro, allowing only three passes of 15 or more yards all season, according to PFF.

Reed has managed 11 explosive plays of 15 or more yards this season. He is averaging 4.5 yards after catch per reception, which is 26th among wide receivers in the NFL. The Packers will get him the ball in space and give him the opportunity to make defenders miss. Reed leads the Packers in receiving yards and has five receiving touchdowns. He has also rushed the ball seven times for 81 yards, including one touchdown and a 31-yard run.

Yards per route run is one of the most effective overall metrics to judge receivers, and Reed ranks 36th in the NFL among players at his position (1.63). Romeo Doubs has emerged as the team's most reliable receiver (leads the team with 45 receptions), while fellow rookie Dontayvion Wicks is breaking out as a big play threat, averaging 16.3 yards per catch to lead the team.

The Packers' receivers are young and talented. The Packers sit right in the middle of the league with 37 completions of 20 or more yards, but in recent weeks the offense has been more explosive than that number indicates. The Giants' defensive backs will have their hands full throughout the game.

View photos of the Giants on the practice field ahead of the Week 14 matchup against the Green Bay Packers.


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