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Fact or Fiction: How top of the draft could unfold


The crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

Based on what they did in free agency, you would be surprised if the Giants drafted an offensive lineman in the first two rounds.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – Maybe mildly surprised. If a player is available that would offer a clear upgrade over players on the roster and is the highest-graded player on their board, they would be foolish not to pull the trigger for a guard or tackle.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – To quote team president John Mara, the Giants' offensive line theme of the past decade is "ridiculous, and it's a continuing source of frustration for me. It's time to get it fixed." The Giants have used two top-seven draft choices on tackles and another second-rounder on a center in recent years and dedicated resources on the line in this cycle of free agency. With that said, you can never have enough depth.

Lance Medow: Fiction – Not much surprises me when it comes to the NFL in general, so let me preface my comments with that statement first. The 2024 draft class isn't just about the upcoming season. You're looking to select players that will develop and contribute for multiple years, even beyond their rookie contracts. From that standpoint, you can never have enough at one position. Although the Giants added five offense linemen this offseason, all those players have different contracts, and a few are short-term deals, so who knows what their statuses will be beyond this campaign. Another item to keep in mind is that Evan Neal is already entering the third year of his rookie deal, and after 2024, the team will determine whether to pick up his fifth-year option. When you take all those factors into consideration, selecting an offensive lineman wouldn't be a stunning development.

Matt Citak: Fiction – Barring a trade back to pick up additional draft assets, I'd be shocked if the Giants used the sixth overall pick on an offensive lineman. However, it would not surprise me to see a lineman taken with the 47th overall selection. The Giants undoubtedly put a lot of resources towards the line in free agency, signing five players to shore up the protection. But let's not forget that the Giants allowed 85 sacks last year, 20 more than any other team. While the Giants have other needs to address in the draft, no one would blame them for further trying to improve the O-line.

You would take wide receiver vs. the field in trying to predict which position the Giants select in Round 1.

John Schmeelk: Fact – This is a close one because I do think there is a real chance the Giants take a quarterback and to a lesser extent an offensive tackle with the sixth overall pick. Selecting a wide receiver, however, seems more likely than not. There are three legitimate top 10 wide receivers in this draft that would be the top player at the position in most years. At least one will be available when the Giants select. The team lacks a true No. 1 wide receiver that would elevate the other players in the position room. The Giants also would not have to move up for a wide receiver, like they probably would for a quarterback. Unlike at wide receiver, Joe Alt might be the only offensive tackle worthy of the sixth overall pick. It just makes too much sense for wide receiver not to be the most likely choice.

Dan Salomone: Fact – At the end of the day, I think the board will present a game-changing receiver for the Giants. And the matching of value and need might be too good to pass up.

Lance Medow: Fact – Assuming the Giants remain at No. 6, there's a very good chance either LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze of Washington will still be on the board, putting them in a good position to take one of those two playmakers. When you look at the combination of skills and value, that position falls right in line with the Giants. I think there will be a run on quarterbacks early with at least the first three selections, leaving several explosive receivers for the taking.

Matt Citak: Fact – This one is tough. If four quarterbacks do go in the first five picks, the Giants will have their choice of at least two of the top three wide receivers, if not all three. Adding an elite, explosive playmaker, combined with the work already done towards improving the O-line, could be just what the offense needs.

NFL Media analyst Daniel Jeremiah released his updated ranking of the top 50 prospects in the 2024 NFL Draft.

There will be more than one defensive player taken in the top 10.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – This is the best offensive draft in years and it is especially heavy at the top. Of the teams in the first round, there are only two I would consider possibilities to select a defensive player: the Atlanta Falcons and the Chicago Bears. But the Bears would certainly be in the market for a wide receiver if one of the top three drop to them. The Falcons seem to be destined to select the first pass rusher off the board. Ill guess the Bears get the third wide receiver at ninth overall, leaving only one defensive player taken in the top ten by Atlanta.

Dan Salomone: Fact – The defense hasn't been getting much hype this cycle, but hey, someone needs to stop all these offensive weapons that we keep hearing so much about.

Lance Medow: Fact – If you were to ask me which teams are most likely to go defense that are scheduled to make a pick in the top 10, it would be the Falcons and Bears. Atlanta, which holds the eighth overall selection, just signed Kirk Cousins and has several young playmakers around him. The Falcons showcased a solid, underrated defense last season. But now with a new coaching staff, it's not crazy to think they may look to add another top playmaker who could be an ideal fit for their new scheme. The Bears then have their second first-round pick at No. 9, and given it's very likely they're going to take a quarterback with the first overall selection, then I could see them addressing the other side of the ball here. Providing your young quarterback with additional weapons isn't a bad thing, but they already have D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, Cole Kemet and Gerald Everrett within the receiving corps. Not too shabby and you can always bolster that group outside of Round 1.

Matt Citak: Fiction – Looking at the teams in the top 10, it appears quite likely that at least the first seven picks are all offensive players. The Atlanta Falcons at No. 8 are the first team that could look towards the defensive side of the ball, with cornerback and edge rusher both possibilities. It wouldn't surprise me if the Chicago Bears also looked to add a player at one of those two defensive positions, but it's more likely they bring in additional help for their quarterback, whether it's an offensive tackle or a pass-catcher. The same goes for the Jets at No. 10.

There will be only one non-quarterback taken in the top five.

John Schmeelk: Fact – There are too many teams that need quarterbacks. The Bears, Commanders, Patriots, Vikings, Broncos and Raiders are all desperate to add a franchise quarterback. I remain convinced the top three picks are quarterbacks, and then there will be a bidding war between the Vikings, Raiders and Broncos to trade up with the Cardinals or Chargers for the fourth quarterback left on the board. It wouldn't shock me if the losers in that bidding war select Michael Penix or Bo Nix in the top 15.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – It seems like every year people make out the quarterback class to be 1983 or 2004. With that said, 2024 could very well be the next great one, but there are elite players in this class who won't be under center.

Lance Medow: Fiction – The only way this statement will come to fruition is if the Cardinals (No. 4) or Chargers (No. 5) make a trade because neither team needs to select a quarterback with Kyler Murray and Justin Herbert as their starters, respectively. While a trade isn't a stretch, you could also argue providing those two quarterbacks with more weapons is also practical, given Ohio State wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. likely still being available in addition to LSU's Malik Nabers and Rome Odunze of Washington. That's why I'm going to lean toward a max of three quarterbacks going in the top five picks.

Matt Citak: Fact – As we get closer to the draft, there is a growing belief that quarterbacks could go one through four for the first time in NFL history. Even if they don't go in the first four picks, it sounds entirely possible that the fourth quarterback will be taken at No. 5, with a team trading up with the Los Angeles Chargers. If the Giants decide they want to take one of the top quarterbacks, it will likely require them to move up a few picks to secure their guy. If they don't fall in love with any of the signal-callers, they will be in a prime position to select one of the top two non-quarterback prospects in the entire class at No. 6, likely either Marvin Harrison Jr. or Malik Nabers.

View photos of Giants throwing out first pitches and taking in some baseball over the years.

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