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Fact or Fiction: Monday Night Football X-factors

FACT-OR-FICTION-TYRONE-TRACY

The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. will lead the Giants in scrimmage yards on Monday night.

John Schmeelk: Fact – My instinct is always to take the field on these questions, but I think the injury to Milton Williams will hinder the Patriots' run defense a bit. The Pats are completely healthy in the secondary, where Christian Gonzales and Carlton Davis are big, physical, and fast cornerbacks who will make it challenging for Giants receivers to get open. Tracy appears completely recovered from his shoulder injury and is running with confidence and toughness the past few games. He has 62 or more rushing yards in three straight games, and over 50 receiving yards in his last two. I think the game will be close and the Giants should be able to stick to the running game, where Tracy has dominated carries.

Dan Salomone: Fact – His ability in the run and pass game makes him a threat for this each game. Tracy seems to be hitting his stride again after his injury and then also the season-ender to Cam Skattebo. Tracy has 269 yards from scrimmage in his past two games.

Matt Citak: Fiction – The Patriots boast one of the league's top run defenses, so while Tracy could make his impact in the passing game, he might struggle to find a lot of room on the ground. Instead, I'll go with Wan'Dale Robinson, who is coming off the best performance of his career. The fourth-year wideout finished with a career-high 156 yards with a touchdown on nine receptions, and could be in for another big game on Monday.

The Patriots are the best team the Giants face all season.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – The Patriots have the fourth-highest point differential in the NFL (+92), but it has come against the easiest schedule, by far, in the National Football League. The Patriots' opponents this year boast a .351 winning percentage, lowest in the NFL. The next lowest is the Bears (.369) but then the next worst team is all the way up at .420 (Broncos). Even with their AFC-leading 10-2 record, I have a tough time arguing the Patriots are a better team than the Broncos, Chiefs, Packers, Eagles, or Lions.

Dan Salomone: Fact – It starts at the top. Mike Vrabel is home in New England and has one of the best rising quarterbacks in the game, which we'll get to next. That makes for a strong combination in the years ahead. Mike Kafka said in his 1-on-1 with Giants.com that you're always going to get a well-coached and disciplined team from Vrabel. There is no higher compliment for a head coach.

Matt Citak: Fiction – While New England currently has the best record in the NFL at 10-2, they have been aided by a rather easy schedule thus far, as their only impressive wins this season have been over the Bills and Buccaneers. Due to their elite defense, I'd put the Broncos ahead of the Patriots, even with Bo Nix struggling at times this year. Over in the NFC, an argument can be made for the Eagles, 49ers, and Packers all being better than the Patriots. I'm not sure if all three would actually beat New England, but the fact that it's even a discussion makes me have to go fiction on this one.

See the top photos from practice as the Giants prepare for their Week 13 matchup against the Patriots.

Drake Maye is the frontrunner for league MVP.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – I can't put Maye ahead of Matthew Stafford, whose efficiency numbers are off the charts and have the Rams with the best record in the NFC. I also believe that if voters can't decide between two candidates, they will go with the one with the larger body of work, especially if they have not won the award before. Stafford certainly falls into that category, and I would have a hard time believing they would give it to Maye over him.

Dan Salomone: Fact – According to NFL Research, Drake Maye joined Hall of Famer Dan Marino (10 in 1984 MVP season) as the only quarterbacks with an 80+ passer rating and a win in nine consecutive games prior to age 24. Lamar Jackson had eight such games in a row in 2019, when he also won MVP. He is in elite company.

Matt Citak: Fiction – This one was really close as Maye is currently in the middle of a dominant campaign, as Dan pointed out here and also in his “Inside the Numbers” article. Despite Maye's dominance, I have to go with Matthew Stafford as the frontrunner for league MVP. Stafford has completed two-thirds of his passes for 2,830 yards, a league-high 30 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. His 113.7 passer rating on the season is also the highest in the NFL. If it weren't for Stafford, Maye would be my pick.

How the Giants defend RB TreVeyon Henderson is the X-factor for Monday Night Football.

John Schmeelk: Fact – Heading into the Lions game, I said multiple times that Jahmyr Gibbs might have been the worst matchup for the Giants' defense all season. He was capable of a big play at any moment, and that came to fruition with three runs of 49 yards or more. Henderson doesn't nearly have the track record of Gibbs, but he shares similar traits with the ability to break off a long run on any carry, especially to the perimeter. If they can slow him down, the Giants will have a chance to win the game. If they don't, this wont go well on Monday.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – It's late in the season. It's in Foxborough. It's Monday Night Football. The only way you're going to beat a Patriots team that doesn't make a lot of mistakes is to avoid your own miscues. The Giants are 2-1 this season when they have a positive turnover differential. When they do not, they are 0-9.

Matt Citak: Fact – Since taking over as New England's lead back in Week 9, Henderson has been fantastic. During this four-game stretch, the rookie back had four touchdowns and 14 forced missed tackles on rushes to the strong side of the formation, both of which are tied for the most in the NFL during this span. Meanwhile, the Giants have allowed an average of 6.7 yards per carry, 2.1 yards before contact and 4.6 yards after contact on rushes to the strong side, all of which are the most in the NFL. The Giants have to prevent Henderson from breaking loose for a big touchdown run, something they have struggled to do with other explosive backs this season.

View photos of the New York Giants' Top 100 Players in franchise history, ranked by an independent committee, in celebration of the Giants' 100th season.

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